Takeaways from the Beacon Poll

56%
Among likely voters, Former President Donald Trump has a 21-point lead (56%-35%) against Vice President Kamala Harris. It’s clear that Democrats made a good decision to replace President Biden on the ticket, as Harris polls seven points higher than Biden would have.
Elections
54%
Senator Marsha Blackburn has extended her lead over Representative Gloria Johnson to 23 points (54%-31%) among likely voters. Blackburn leads Johnson by 22 points among independents.
Elections
49%
A plurality of Tennessee voters (49%) approve of the job the U.S. Supreme Court is doing, while 44% disapprove of it. Despite the Supreme Court receiving a plurality of support for the job they are doing, 48% of voters also back President Biden’s proposal to implement term limits, and 44% oppose the proposal.
Politics
58%
As the devastating effects of Hurricanes Helene and Milton continue to unfold in the Southeast, likely voters prefer Trump by 23 points over Harris when it comes to handling a natural disaster and recovery (58%-35%).
Public Safety
41%
Tennessee voters are split on tariffs, with 41% believing they’re necessary to protect American-made products, and 39% believing they are essentially taxes that increase the cost of goods.
Taxes
13%
When it comes to taxes on unrealized capital gains, only 13% of Tennesseans believe it’s fair to tax a hypothetical increase in value of assets like stocks and homes, while 69% think it’s unfair.
Taxes

Political Polling Results

Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Harris by 21 points among likely voters (56%-35%).

ELECTIONS

Donald Trump would lead Biden by 28 points (56%-28%) among likely voters if Biden were still the nominee.

ELECTIONS

52% of likely Tennessee voters prefer Ohio Senator J.D. Vance, while 39% prefer Minnesota Governor Tim Walz.

ELECTIONS

Senator Marsha Blackburn has extended her lead over Representative Gloria Johnson, now leading by 23 points among likely voters (54%-31%).

ELECTIONS

30% of likely Tennessee voters believe that Marsha Blackburn’s political views are too conservative, and 20% believe she is not conservative enough, with 32% believing her views are not too far either way.

ELECTIONS

36% of likely Tennessee voters believe that Gloria Johnson’s political views are too liberal or progressive, and 8% believe she’s not liberal enough, with 29% believing her views are not too far either way.

ELECTIONS

Policy Polling Results

48% of Tennesseans support President Biden’s proposal to implement term limits for U.S. Supreme Court justices, while 44% oppose the proposal.

POLITICS

41% of Tennesseans believe that tariffs are necessary to protect American made products even if the result in temporary cost increases, while 39% believe that tariffs are essentially taxes that increase the cost of goods and can worsen inflation.

TAXES

69% of Tennesseans are against taxing unrealized capital gains, saying it is unfair to tax a hypothetical increase in value to assets like stocks and houses, while just 13% of Tennesseans think it fair to tax unrealized gains.

TAXES

Culture Polling Results

Tennesseans are almost evenly split on their opinion of pumpkin spice lattes.

Culture

Democrats are the most likely group to like pumpkin spice lattes (+20%), while Republicans are the least likely group (-11%).

love or like pumpkin spice lattes.
33%
hate or dislike them.
32%

Methodology

  • Online poll of 1,200 registered voters in Tennessee
  • Only respondents who passed our data quality checks were included in the final results and compensated for participating.
  • Sampling was stratified by demographics and geography.
  • Results were weighted by demographics, party, geography, and behavioral measures to properly reflect the profile of the state.
  • Estimated margin of error: +/- 2.77%
  • Fieldwork: September 27 to October 8, 2024
  • Due to weighting and rounding, percentages may not always total exactly 100%.

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